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Ratings

Oct 19, 2026

Rating Changes: Two Weeks Out

Twelve races moved on our board, and every one of them went toward Democrats

The Caucus
The Caucus

Oct 19, 2026

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: 2 Weeks Out

Max Miller is down to $122,835 as the fundraising numbers of the fall reshuffle the list

The Caucus
The Caucus

Oct 14, 2026

Ranking the 9 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: 3 Weeks Out

South Carolina joins the list, and both parties quit North Carolina in the same week

The Caucus
The Caucus

Oct 13, 2026

Rating Changes: Week of October 12th

Nine races moved, including three Senate seats and a governor's race

The Caucus
The Caucus

Oct 11, 2026

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: 3 Weeks Out

VA-01 jumps into the toss ups as all five of our ratings changes go one way

The Caucus
The Caucus

Oct 6, 2026

Ranking the 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 4

Kansas moves up, and Republicans pull $18 million out of North Carolina to pay for it

The Caucus
The Caucus

Oct 6, 2026

Rating Changes: Week of October 5th

We moved 3 formerly Safe Republican seats toward the Democrats

The Caucus
The Caucus

Oct 5, 2026

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 4

IA-01 was our biggest mover of the week after we changed its rating to D Advantage

The Caucus
The Caucus

Sep 30, 2026

Ranking the 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 3

Texas moves up, and we start tracking the seats Democrats are defending

The Caucus
The Caucus

Sep 29, 2026

Rating Changes: Week of September 28th

Six of our seven moves went toward Democrats

The Caucus
The Caucus

Sep 28, 2026

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 3

Five weeks out, the committees are starting to spend on offense

The Caucus
The Caucus

Sep 23, 2026

Ranking the 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 2

Alaska and Iowa move up

The Caucus
The Caucus

Sep 22, 2026

Rating Changes: Week of September 21st

We moved eight races this week

The Caucus
The Caucus

Sep 21, 2026

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 2

Six weeks out, MI-04 and NJ-07 make the biggest jumps

The Caucus
The Caucus

Sep 16, 2026

Ranking 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip

Five of the eight are pure toss-ups

The Caucus
The Caucus

Sep 15, 2026

Rating Changes: Week of September 14th

We moved seven races this week

The Caucus
The Caucus

Sep 14, 2026

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip

We'll update our rankings every week ahead of the November election

The Caucus
The Caucus

Sep 9, 2026

The Nine Closest Senate Races 50+ Days Out From the Election

There are two additional states we see as potentially competitive if the environment changes

The Caucus
The Caucus

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