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Senate

Oct 18, 2026

The Third-Quarter Money in Competitive Senate Races

What each campaign raised and spent from July through September, and what is left for the last two weeks

The Caucus
The Caucus

Oct 14, 2026

Ranking the 9 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: 3 Weeks Out

South Carolina joins the list, and both parties quit North Carolina in the same week

The Caucus
The Caucus

Oct 6, 2026

Ranking the 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 4

Kansas moves up, and Republicans pull $18 million out of North Carolina to pay for it

The Caucus
The Caucus

Sep 30, 2026

Ranking the 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 3

Texas moves up, and we start tracking the seats Democrats are defending

The Caucus
The Caucus

Sep 23, 2026

Ranking the 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 2

Alaska and Iowa move up

The Caucus
The Caucus

Sep 16, 2026

Ranking 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip

Five of the eight are pure toss-ups

The Caucus
The Caucus

Sep 9, 2026

The Nine Closest Senate Races 50+ Days Out From the Election

There are two additional states we see as potentially competitive if the environment changes

The Caucus
The Caucus

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