Logo
Logo
The Caucus
The Caucus

Ratings

+1

Rating Changes: Two Weeks Out

Oct 19, 2026

•

3 min read

Rating Changes: Two Weeks Out

Twelve races moved on our board, and every one of them went toward Democrats

The Caucus
The Caucus

Ratings

+1

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: 2 Weeks Out

Oct 19, 2026

•

3 min read

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: 2 Weeks Out

Max Miller is down to $122,835 as the fundraising numbers of the fall reshuffle the list

The Caucus
The Caucus

News

+1

What 2028 Democratic Hopefuls Have in the Bank

Oct 18, 2026

•

1 min read

What 2028 Democratic Hopefuls Have in the Bank

Federal and state money for contenders The Caucus is currently tracking

The Caucus
The Caucus

News

+1

The Third-Quarter Money in Competitive House Races

Oct 18, 2026

•

3 min read

The Third-Quarter Money in Competitive House Races

What each campaign raised and spent from July through September, and what is left for the last two weeks

The Caucus
The Caucus

Senate

+1

The Third-Quarter Money in Competitive Senate Races

Oct 18, 2026

•

1 min read

The Third-Quarter Money in Competitive Senate Races

What each campaign raised and spent from July through September, and what is left for the last two weeks

The Caucus
The Caucus

News

Powered By People Is Hitting 22 Texas Campuses Before Election Day

Oct 16, 2026

•

1 min read

Powered By People Is Hitting 22 Texas Campuses Before Election Day

Beto O'Rourke's organization has 130+ events scheduled across Texas

The Caucus
The Caucus

Senate

+1

Ranking the 9 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: 3 Weeks Out

Oct 14, 2026

•

6 min read

Ranking the 9 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: 3 Weeks Out

South Carolina joins the list, and both parties quit North Carolina in the same week

The Caucus
The Caucus

Ratings

+1

Rating Changes: Week of October 12th

Oct 13, 2026

•

3 min read

Rating Changes: Week of October 12th

Nine races moved, including three Senate seats and a governor's race

The Caucus
The Caucus

Ratings

+1

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: 3 Weeks Out

Oct 11, 2026

•

2 min read

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: 3 Weeks Out

VA-01 jumps into the toss ups as all five of our ratings changes go one way

The Caucus
The Caucus

Senate

+1

Ranking the 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 4

Oct 6, 2026

•

4 min read

Ranking the 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 4

Kansas moves up, and Republicans pull $18 million out of North Carolina to pay for it

The Caucus
The Caucus

Ratings

+1

Rating Changes: Week of October 5th

Oct 6, 2026

•

3 min read

Rating Changes: Week of October 5th

We moved 3 formerly Safe Republican seats toward the Democrats

The Caucus
The Caucus

Ratings

+1

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 4

Oct 5, 2026

•

2 min read

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 4

IA-01 was our biggest mover of the week after we changed its rating to D Advantage

The Caucus
The Caucus

Senate

+1

Ranking the 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 3

Sep 30, 2026

•

3 min read

Ranking the 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 3

Texas moves up, and we start tracking the seats Democrats are defending

The Caucus
The Caucus

Ratings

+1

Rating Changes: Week of September 28th

Sep 29, 2026

•

3 min read

Rating Changes: Week of September 28th

Six of our seven moves went toward Democrats

The Caucus
The Caucus

Ratings

+1

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 3

Sep 28, 2026

•

2 min read

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 3

Five weeks out, the committees are starting to spend on offense

The Caucus
The Caucus

Senate

+1

Ranking the 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 2

Sep 23, 2026

•

2 min read

Ranking the 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 2

Alaska and Iowa move up

The Caucus
The Caucus

Ratings

+1

Rating Changes: Week of September 21st

Sep 22, 2026

•

2 min read

Rating Changes: Week of September 21st

We moved eight races this week

The Caucus
The Caucus

Ratings

+1

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 2

Sep 21, 2026

•

1 min read

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 2

Six weeks out, MI-04 and NJ-07 make the biggest jumps

The Caucus
The Caucus

Senate

+1

Ranking 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip

Sep 16, 2026

•

1 min read

Ranking 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip

Five of the eight are pure toss-ups

The Caucus
The Caucus

News

DCCC Adds Alaska Independent Bill Hill, Two Midwest Challengers to Red to Blue

Sep 15, 2026

•

1 min read

DCCC Adds Alaska Independent Bill Hill, Two Midwest Challengers to Red to Blue

Hill is running against Rep. Nick Begich, who won the seat by less than three points in 2024 while Trump carried Alaska by 13

The Caucus
The Caucus

Ratings

+1

Rating Changes: Week of September 14th

Sep 15, 2026

•

1 min read

Rating Changes: Week of September 14th

We moved seven races this week

The Caucus
The Caucus

Ratings

+1

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip

Sep 14, 2026

•

1 min read

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip

We'll update our rankings every week ahead of the November election

The Caucus
The Caucus

Senate

+1

The Nine Closest Senate Races 50+ Days Out From the Election

Sep 9, 2026

•

1 min read

The Nine Closest Senate Races 50+ Days Out From the Election

There are two additional states we see as potentially competitive if the environment changes

The Caucus
The Caucus

News

Deluzio Says He "Might" Run for PA Senate Seat in 2028

Sep 7, 2026

•

2 min read

Deluzio Says He "Might" Run for PA Senate Seat in 2028

The two-term Congressman added that Sen. Fetterman "doesn't want to do the job."

The Caucus
The Caucus

News

Missouri Supreme Court Pauses GOP Gerrymander, Potentially Handing Seat Back to Cleaver

Sep 4, 2026

•

2 min read

Missouri Supreme Court Pauses GOP Gerrymander, Potentially Handing Seat Back to Cleaver

The 11-term Kansas City-area Congressman had been drawn into a Trump +17 district

The Caucus
The Caucus
Load more

ABOUT

CONTACT

PRIVACY

TERMS

© 2026 The Caucus.
beehiivPowered by beehiiv